User Tools

Site Tools


urgency_of

Differences

This shows you the differences between two versions of the page.

Link to this comparison view

Both sides previous revision Previous revision
Next revision
Previous revision
urgency_of [2019/11/07 19:42]
admin
urgency_of [2019/12/14 04:51] (current)
admin
Line 1: Line 1:
 ====== Urgency of #​ClimateCrisis ====== ====== Urgency of #​ClimateCrisis ======
 +Updated December 13, 2019 -- Ed Averill
  
 In September of 2018, we were still talking 2 degrees C temperature rise.  We were still talking Paris. ​ We had not had any Climate Strikes / Fridays for Future. ​ We were looking forward in Oregon to a new version of the Clean Energy Jobs bill, with some confidence it would pass.  We felt pretty comfortable. In September of 2018, we were still talking 2 degrees C temperature rise.  We were still talking Paris. ​ We had not had any Climate Strikes / Fridays for Future. ​ We were looking forward in Oregon to a new version of the Clean Energy Jobs bill, with some confidence it would pass.  We felt pretty comfortable.
  
-In the 2018 short session SB 978 was generated to cause the PUC to investigate how they should be acting differently ​as we deal with climate change. They generated their report{{ ::​sb978legislativereport-2018.pdf |}} to the Legislature on September 28th, 2018, and in it they said that there were many learnings, but there were two dominant requests of them.  **One of those two was to have new law changing their charter to enable the PUC to encourage ​emission ​utility reduction.** ​+In the 2018 short session SB 978 was generated to cause the PUC to investigate how they should be acting differently ​to deal with climate change. They did a lot of research and generated their report {{ ::​sb978legislativereport-2018.pdf |}} to the Legislature on September 28th, 2018. In it they said that there were many learnings, but there were two dominant requests of them.  **One of those two was to have new law changing their charter to enable the PUC to encourage utility ​emission ​reduction.** ​
  
-**On October 8, 2018 the UN IPCC SR15 came out.** ​ It was the report the UN had requested after the Paris Agreement to further understand if the 2 degree limit was adequate, or if there was reason to work harder for the 1.5 degree target.+**On October 8, 2018 the [[https://​www.ipcc.ch/​sr15/​ | UN IPCC SR15]] came out.** ​ It was the report the UN had requested after the Paris Agreement to further understand if the 2 degree limit was adequate, or if there was reason to work harder for the 1.5 degree target.
  
-**The overwhelming consensus of the SR15 report was that the 1.5 degree target was extremely important, because failing that leaves the world open to many tipping points, only some of which we understand. ​ But what we know is scary, we don't want to go past 1.5 degrees.**+**The overwhelming consensus of the SR15 report was that the **<​html><​big></​html>​**1.5 degree target was extremely important**<​html></​big></​html>​**, because failing that leaves the world open to many** <​html><​big></​html>​[[https://​phys.org/​news/​2019-11-climate-comfort.html |tipping points]]<​html></​big></​html>​**, only some of which we understand. ​ But what we know is scary, we don't want to go past 1.5 degrees.** 
 + 
 +Stopping before 1.5 degrees requires many efforts. ​ <​html><​big></​html>​ **The first big step is to halve our CO2 emissions by 2030. ** <​html></​big></​html>​
  
-Stopping before 1.5 degrees requires many efforts. ​ **The first big step is to halve our CO2 emissions by 2030.  
-** 
 So, we have an extreme urgency to deal with unprecedented "​Decarbonization"​ at a level we really haven'​t taken fully seriously, yet.  We are still aimed at a sloppy Paris 2 degree solution. So, we have an extreme urgency to deal with unprecedented "​Decarbonization"​ at a level we really haven'​t taken fully seriously, yet.  We are still aimed at a sloppy Paris 2 degree solution.
  
Line 23: Line 24:
 I think this description redacted and toned down some of Chair Decker'​s enthusiasm, significantly. ​ What I heard in her speech was that she would welcome new direction from the legislature that would allow the PUC to give reasonable weight to driving our energy system to green. I think this description redacted and toned down some of Chair Decker'​s enthusiasm, significantly. ​ What I heard in her speech was that she would welcome new direction from the legislature that would allow the PUC to give reasonable weight to driving our energy system to green.
  
-We care because there is general scientific consensus **that the next decade is the last decade in which we can avoid permanent Climate damage** at the level that cannot be repaired thereafter. ​ Our children are really in the process of having their world opportunities permanently damaged -- maybe even to a full 6th extinction.+We care because there is general scientific consensus ​<​html><​big></​html> ​**that the next decade is the last decade in which we can avoid permanent Climate damage**<​html></​big></​html>  ​at the level that cannot be repaired thereafter. ​ Our children are really in the process of having their world opportunities permanently damaged -- maybe even to a full 6th extinction.
  
-We care because of the multi-year delay: ​ HB 2020 sets up a good framework for ongoing work.  It can be tuned in many ways.  **But it will not begin until 2+ years after being passed because of the complexity** of writing its administrative rules/law.+We care because of the multi-year delay: ​ HB 2020 sets up a good framework for ongoing work. It's most important job is to raise funds for climate justice expenses. ​It can be tuned in many ways.  **But it will not begin until 2+ years after being passed because of the complexity** of writing its administrative rules/law.
  
-THE PUC OFFERS ​THEIR VERY GOOD UTILITY PLANNING PROCESS as a medium in which to **facilitate sooner decisions in favor of protecting the climate.**+THE PUC OFFERED ​THEIR VERY GOOD UTILITY PLANNING PROCESS as a medium in which to **facilitate sooner decisions in favor of protecting the climate.** ​ It is completely beyond my understanding why there has not already been a bill to capture that opportunity offered up by SB 978.
  
-Zero-carbon energy is readily available NOW.   Many jurisdictions are planning to be carbon neutral by 2025 for grids, 2030 in total.+Zero-carbon energy is readily available NOW.   Many jurisdictions are planning to be carbon neutral by 2025-2030 for grids, 2030-2040 in total.
  
-It is completely beyond my understanding why there has not been a bill to capture that opportunity offered up by SB 978. +Engineers for a Sustainable Future created ​a {{ ::​proposed_puc_initiative.pdf |draft PUC amendment}} to support adding decarbonization to the PUC regulation charter. ​ After all, if we don't have an ecosystem to live in, who cares what the lowest available energy rates would be?
- +
-Engineers for a Sustainable Future created ​an amendment to support adding decarbonization to the PUC regulation charter. ​ After all, if we don't have an ecosystem to live in, who cares what the lowest available energy rates would be?+
  
 To have such a charter be under reasonable guidance, it should use "Best Available Science",​ which aids the charter change for decision making. To have such a charter be under reasonable guidance, it should use "Best Available Science",​ which aids the charter change for decision making.
Line 52: Line 51:
 Please try to understand that early decarbonization is an opportunity worth grabbing. Please try to understand that early decarbonization is an opportunity worth grabbing.
  
-OLCV has kicked off the following Initiative Petitions in case the legislature has difficulty completing their tasks this year, too.+The 2019 Oregon Legislature fell apart on the main event of Clean Energy Jobs.  That is a story in itself. ​ But the end result was that at the end of the long session it failed, other work was cleaned up, and they disbanded on schedule. 
 +Governor Kate Brown made some adamant statements about how she would not let things lie, and would use a special session or administrative action to get something done. 
 +It is also the case that the whole Oregon plan is aimed at 2.0 degrees Centegrade, not 1.5 degrees. ​ So, even if it had passed, it would not really be good enough. 
 + 
 +The summer passed with no action from the governor. 
 + 
 +The Climate NGOs got nervous and said to themselves, "What can we do?" ​ Their answer was, "We will write initiative petitions that will do the work of the legislature for them.  We will get them on the Secretary of State'​s list for fall 2020.  Since the short session will end before April, if Clean ENergy Jobs isn't passed, we'll collect signatures and get the petitions on the ballot. 
 + 
 +OLCV was lead NGO in a MCAT (Metro Climate Action Team) has kicked off the following Initiative Petitions in case the legislature has difficulty completing their tasks this year, too.
  
   * {{ :​pdf:​048text.pdf |Initiative #48 -- PUC to drive decarbonization of grid by 2045.}}   * {{ :​pdf:​048text.pdf |Initiative #48 -- PUC to drive decarbonization of grid by 2045.}}
Line 58: Line 65:
   * {{ :​pdf:​050text.pdf |Initiative #49 -- equivalent of Clean Energy Jobs}}   * {{ :​pdf:​050text.pdf |Initiative #49 -- equivalent of Clean Energy Jobs}}
  
-Representative Holvey of Eugene was working on **{{ :pdf:hb2242-a-engrossed.pdf | HB 2242 }}** as the implementation of enabling the PUC to use their IRP reviews of utilities'​ plans to require them to be on track for Best Available Science ​defined decarbonization+Representative Holvey of Eugene was working on enabling agencies that need support for following Best Available Science to have an agency in Oregon capable of providing analyses ​{{ :pdf:hb3327_introduced_peer_reviewed_science.pdf |Best Available Science}}
  
 We want it available in Initiative Petition form in case the legislature doesn'​t do it. We want it available in Initiative Petition form in case the legislature doesn'​t do it.
  
-Notice that the OLCV grid ones are way too late.  So is HB 2020.  HB 2020 will fund climate justice -- that is great.+Notice that the OLCV petitions only define decarbination that is too little, and are way too late. So is HB 2020 relative to needed decarbonation.  HB 2020 will fund climate justice -- that is great.
  
 Grid greening before 2030 would address SR15 if we also transition to significant use of EV transportation. ​ Grid greening before 2030 would address SR15 if we also transition to significant use of EV transportation. ​
 +
 +Metro and Trimet have been attempting to transition buses to battery operation. ​ Their plans need to be stiffened up to provide most of their transition before 2030.
 +
 +The combination of grid greening and partial transition to EV transportation can be a large part of meeting UN IPCC SR15.
  
  
urgency_of.1573155723.txt.gz · Last modified: 2019/11/07 19:42 by admin